Creep Phase-Based Rupture Forecasting

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A robust forecasting framework for catastrophic failure based on analyzing the transitions between the decelerating, steady-state, and accelerating phases of progressive creep.

Why It Matters

The paper proposes a new conceptual framework for failure prediction that systematically utilizes the sequence of physical creep phases (decelerating, quasi-stationary, accelerating).

Evidence

This unified scaling highlights that the early-time dynamics reflect the full evolution toward failure, providing a simple and robust framework for forecasting rupture across laboratory and natural systems.

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