Bayesian flow field treatment
Background: The current framework provides point forecasts and prediction intervals based on empirical cross-validation error distributions, but does not explicitly account for uncertainty in the estimated flow field parameters themselves.
Question / Future Work: A natural extension involves developing a fully Bayesian treatment for the flow-field model, which would allow for uncertainty quantification that explicitly accounts for parameter uncertainty in the speed function, trajectory functions, and relaxation rates.
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- 2026-03-26T07:11:08Z